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Today's Summary

Bruce Hall: Rubio has a good grasp of both cooperative and adversarial relationships. The US native born population is in serious decline. Private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the most in over a year. It has been 42 months since the real peak in house prices. In real terms, national house prices are 10.1% above the bubble peak levels. Mortgage balances rose by $98 billion (+0.7%) in Q4 from Q3, to $13.2 trillion. Microsoft AI boss Mustafa Suleyman has warned that AI could be coming to take most white-collar jobs. Core services CPI jumped by 0.39% (+4.8% annualized) in January from December, the worst reading in a year. Wolf Richter says the price of wheat in a loaf of bread has not changed much over the past two years. Price of food at home has fallen back to pre-2021 prices. Replacement values (used vehicle prices) plunged from mid-2022 through 2024. Recovery business potential reducedifies HS Judge themed Straw Chang Italianenta phase cl The SP 500 is underperforming the global Dow since Jan 2025 and will underperform for a long time. We will be left with the fixed debt minus tens of trillion in liquidity. Pending home sales declined by 0.8% seasonally adjusted from the downwardly revised December, to the lowest level on record. In the South, pending sales fell by 4.5% in January from December, following the drop in December. Without institutional capacity and financial depth, the increasingly popular public-private-partnership model backfire. Bruce Bartlett: Conservatives should avoid complacency by relying on closed-loop of news sources. Bruce and Barry Ritholtz discuss power dynamics in a relationship. They discuss budgeting, prenup agreements, communication. Freddie Mac reported that its “National” Home Price Index (FMHPI) increased 0.03% month-over-month (MoM) on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis in December. South Africa has followed a hyper-liberal approach to economic policy. Mega Backdoor Roth allows people to make after-tax contributions into a Roth IRA. Dan LaRosa: Tech companies — Id say just about all of the big tech companies. January existing home sales are scheduled to be released on Thursday, February 12th. The Fallacy of Concentration Risk is a critical assumption hiding in plain sight. America is getting increasingly fed up with Trumps immigration policy in general. The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes. Chinas January inventory is 17.2% below typical 2017–19 levels, the furthest from pre-pandemic norms since March 2025 (20.2%) Note the seasonality for active listings. Graham Allisons Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap? Bitcoin is trading at $66,800 today, down 1% over the past day. Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. predicted that Bitcoin could reach $1 million. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says he owns a small amount of Bitcoin. Explore live rankings of the highest volume cryptos over the past 24 hours. California has set a July 1 deadline for crypto firms serving residents to hold a DFAL license, file an application, or qualify for an exemption. CME Group to launch 24/7 trading for its regulated cryptocurrency futures and options on May 29, pending regulatory review. Bitcoin trading volume on Binance regained dominance, accounting for 36.8%. Bitcoins Lightning Network has surpassed $1 billion in monthly transaction volume. Average Lightning transaction in November 2025 was $223, up from $118 the previous year. Bitcoin faces a new selloff if oil holds $70 after spike and the fed turns less patient. Senator Elizabeth Warren urged the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve to rule out any taxpayer-funded intervention. Bitcoin continued its price struggles as traders weighed two stress-tinged signals from the US financial ecosystem. The credit market is not exhibiting the kind of extremes that typically trigger the second phase. The ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index option-adjusted spread stood at 2.94% on Feb. 17, according to FRED. ETHZilla shares peaked at an effective price of